Is the U.S. Economy Improving? Essay Example
Is the U.S. Economy Improving? Essay Example

Is the U.S. Economy Improving? Essay Example

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  • Pages: 5 (1176 words)
  • Published: August 18, 2018
  • Type: Article
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The news stories and financial trends are causing a widespread fear throughout the country, as they suggest that an upcoming recession is inevitable.

Despite concerns, the economy is not currently declining. Various indicators and factors impact the overall state of the economy, and comparing previous indicators to current ones helps determine trends. Media coverage related to home prices, mortgage loans, and gas prices does not necessarily indicate a weak economy but rather a shift. In addition to this, there are many other indicators that aid in understanding the state of the economy beyond news stories discussing potential economic decline due to housing market shifts or increased oil prices.

To perform a precise analysis of the United States economy, it is essential to comprehend its actual figures, including indicators like Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Labor Market, and wages. These metrics assess productio

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n and expenditure, determining whether the economy is expanding or contracting. Essentially, GDP reflects the annual output and scale of the economy.

Although a decline in GDP can lead to a recession, the United States experienced an annual GDP growth of only 2.3% from 1870 to 1979, yet its standard of living tripled.

The importance of utilizing GDP as a measure of productivity for citizens lies in its impact on long-term growth. Enhanced productivity can enhance living standards, reduce poverty, and allocate more resources to public health and education. Additionally, GDP plays a crucial role in determining job creation rates within the labor force; insufficient employment opportunities may result if growth falls short of its potential, while excessive growth could lower unemployment levels.

There are several factors that impact the economy, including measuring unemployment claims and productivity rate in the

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labor force. These factors can affect GDP, as well as consumer spending which is important for economic growth. Wages paid to the labor force play a crucial role in influencing consumer spending habits and changes in wages can directly impact how much consumers have available to spend on goods.

To enhance the economy, wages can be raised which can lead to an increase in individuals' spending power. Conversely, a failure to maintain wages in line with inflation could result in a decline in people's disposable income thereby causing economic activity to decrease. To gain a complete understanding of the present economic situation, it is crucial to examine past indicators such as the US recession.

After the September 11, 2001 attacks, there were fears of more incidents and recollections of economic struggles during World War II and Reagan's presidency. This led to a recession that decreased consumer spending. Nevertheless, according to BFRB figures, the nation progressed as GDP increased by 2.1% between 2005 and 2006.

Between 2005 and 2006, there was a 5.5% increase in exports, which accounted for a considerable proportion of the GDP. The workforce's efficiency discussed earlier is responsible for this export growth and GDP expansion. In Q4 of 2006, unemployment averaged at 4.6%.

Back in 2006, Personal Income experienced a 5.3% surge, albeit only achieving a growth of 0.4% over the final six months of that year. Presently, we are evaluating current signals of commercial and financial activity during Q2 of 2007 while contrasting them against earlier information.

During Q1 of 2007, there was a 1.3% rise in GDP and a 10.6% increase in exports from the previous quarter according to data from BFRB. The average unemployment

rate during this period was 4.5%.

There was a 0.6% increase in personal income from December 2006 to January 2007, and GDP grew during 2007. While there was only a 2.1% rise in the previous year, the first quarter of 2007 alone saw a significant surge of 1.3%.

In the last 24 months, the growth of GDP has been supported by exports and this has led to a stable unemployment rate. This stability in employment has attributed to an increase in personal income, as shown by a .4% rise during Q4 2006 that continued into January 2007.

Although there are concerns regarding gas and oil markets, residential or new homes, and real estate sales, consumer spending has increased due to a 6% rise in incomes. While the economy remains steady, individuals express apprehension about real estate defaults. The high prices of gasoline resulting from supply and demand dynamics have negatively impacted people's finances.

Between March 30, 2007 and April 6, 2007, the average cost of crude oil prices increased by $6.5 million in the United States. The surge in prices is partly due to the situation in the Middle East and a rise in gas demand combined with limited import supplies. This has led many consumers to worry about a possible recession caused by high costs. Furthermore, increasing gas prices have an impact on other prices because transportation is vital for products to reach retailers from suppliers. Consequently, elevated delivery expenses lead to higher product prices across various markets.

During the early years of the twenty-first century, there was a housing boom in various regions throughout the United States which resulted in an increase in housing prices. This caused

more people with limited credit experience to become mortgagors due to lowered borrowing rates. Although homeownership is considered part of the American Dream, this development led to concerns such as slowed home sales and building that were attributed to high housing prices. Additionally, subprime loans given to individuals with less than perfect credit raised fears of defaults and foreclosures. The Christian Science Monitor stresses the importance of maintaining perspective during this period of anxiety over subprime mortgages.

Even though the subprime defaults and delinquencies were expected to have a profound impact on the economy and financial markets until 2008, some factors can reduce their severity. Although the mortgage situation is serious, it is not believed to pose a catastrophic threat to the overall United States economy. According to Ezrati, subprime loans only account for 13 percent of new mortgages issued, resulting in less than one percent loss of the current mortgage market. Despite concerns about foreclosures, the current trend in sub-prime lending does not have as significant an effect as some fear. Therefore, while consumers may worry about gas prices and home mortgage trends' impact on the economy, they represent only a small portion of it.

The economy of our country is composed of three main elements, namely GDP, the labor market, and wages. The measurement of our nation's production which also includes meeting both domestic and international needs is known as GDP. Exports have been a crucial factor in driving the growth of GDP according to recent BFRB data. Furthermore, employment opportunities for our workforce depend heavily on GDP. Fortunately, statistics reveal that unemployment rates have remained constant in the United States for more than a

year.

The data indicates that the country is maintaining its production and output rates, leading to a steady level of employment and higher wages for consumer spending. In January 2007, there was a .6% rise in wages compared to December 2006, giving consumers more financial resources for expenditure purposes. As a result, this has stimulated economic growth.

According to this data compilation, the United States is experiencing sustainable economic growth without any indications of decline or excessive growth that could result in inflation. As a result, citizens are reaping the benefits of this consistent level of economic development.

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