Federal Election Commission Essay Example

Party's nomination at the Republican National Convention in mid-July 2016. As indicated by Crown pollsters, it was anticipated that Hillary Clinton had a 69% probability of winning the Texas votes, while her competitors Donald Trump (Republican), Gary Johnson (Libertarian), Jill Stein (Green Party), and others (Independent) had lower chances of achievement. To ensure precise predictions, Crown pollsters employ radio call interviews as their methodology. Nonetheless, this time their forecasts went off course since numerous Trump supporters chose not to openly express their opinions, leading to an unexpected result for Clinton.

Donald Trump won Texas' 38 electoral votes, which is the second-largest Electoral College, by a significant margin compared to the pre-elections predictions (270to Win, 2016). Most pollsters got the predictions wrong, except for the Los Angeles Times. The Los Angeles Times is a reliable source with a long history of giving credible results. They got it right by conducting online surveys that produced reliable results. When comparing the actual results with the predictions, there is a noticeable margin of error.

Clinton and D. Trump received inaccurate predictions due to the methodology used. The pollsters relied on telephone polling, but H. Clinton's supporters did not hesitate to show their support for her, while D.

Trump supporters were reluctant to share their opinions, leading to inaccurate predictions from traditional telephone polls. The election results revealed that the failure to publicly express their views had a negative impact on the outcome. To address this issue, alternative strategies must be developed to reach out to individuals who prefer not to make their views known.