G.FinalMacro.2011

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Misery index
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The sum of inflation and unemployment
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Phillips curve
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The short-run trade-off between inflation and unemployment
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Natural rate of unemployment
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The normal rate of unemployment toward which the economy gravitates
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Natural-rate hypothesis
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The theory that unemployment returns to its natural rate, regardless of inflation
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Disinflation
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A reduction in the rate of inflation
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Supply shock
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An event that directly alters firms' costs and prices, shifting the economy's aggregate-supply curve and, thus, the Phillips curve
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Sacrifice ratio
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The number of percentage points of annual output that is lost in order to reduce inflation one percentage point
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Rational expectations
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The theory that suggests that people optimally use all available information, including about government policies, when forecasting the future
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The misery index, which some commentators suggest measures the health of the economy, is
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the sum of unemployment rate and the inflation rate.
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The original Phillips curve illustrates
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the trade-off between inflation and unemployment.
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The Phillips curve is an extension of the model of aggregate supply and aggregate demand because, in the short run, an increase in aggregate demand increases prices and
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decreases unemployment
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Along a short-run Phillips curve,
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a higher rate of inflation is associated with a lower unemployment rate.
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If, in the long run, people adjust their price expectations so that all prices and incomes move proportionately to an increase in the price level, then the long-run Phillips curve
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is vertical.
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According to the Phillips curve, in the short run, if policymakers choose an expansionary policy to lower the rate of unemployment,
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the economy will experience an increase in inflation.
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An increase in expected inflation
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shifts the short-run Phillips curve upward, and the unemployment-inflation trade-off is less favorable.
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Which of the following would shift the long-run Phillips curve to the right.
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an increase in the minimum wage
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When actual inflation exceeds expected inflation,
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unemployment is less than the natural rate of unemployment.
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A decrease in the price of foreign oil
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shifts the short-run Phillips curve downward, and the unemployment-inflation trade-off is more favorable.
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The natural-rate hypothesis argues that
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in the long run, the unemployment rate returns to the natural rate, regardless of inflation.
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If people have rational expectations, a monetary policy contraction that is announced and is credible could
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reduce inflation with little or no increase in unemployment.
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If the sacrifice ratio is five, a reduction in inflation from 7 percent to 3 percent would require
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a reduction in output of 20 percent
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If the Fed were to continuously use expansionary monetary policy in an attempt to hold unemployment below the natural rate, the long-run result would be
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an increase in the rate of inflation.
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The original Phillips curve shows that:
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high inflation leads to low unemployment.
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When the Fed increases the money supply faster than expected, there will be in the short run ________ the short run Phillips curve.
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a movement up and to the left along
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When, in the long run, people get used to, and come to expect, a higher inflation rate, there will be ________ the short run Phillips curve.
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an upward shift of
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When the Fed increases the money supply slower than expected, there will be in the short run ________ the short run Phillips curve.
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a movement up and to the left along
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When, in the long run, people get used to, and come to expect, a lower inflation rate, there will be ________ the short run Phillips curve.
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a downward shift of
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Friedman and Phelps argued that in the:
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long run, inflation has no effect on unemployment.
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Friedman and Phelps argued that the Phillips curve was:
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vertical in the long run.
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According to Friedman and Phelps, if actual inflation is greater than expected inflation, the unemployment rate will:
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be lower than the natural rate of unemployment.
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According to Friedman and Phelps, if actual inflation is less than expected inflation, the unemployment rate will:
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be greater than the natural rate of unemployment.
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If there is high inflation and the Fed follows a policy to reduce the inflation rate, we can expect that in the short run, the economy will experience ________ with ________ unemployment.
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recession, high
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Theory or liquidity preference
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Keynes's theory that the interest rate is determined by the supply and demand for money in the short run
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Liquidity
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The ease with which an asset is converted into a medium of exchange
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Federal funds rate
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The interest rate banks charge one another for short-term loans
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Fiscal policy
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The setting of the level of government spending and taxation by government policymakers
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Multiplier effect
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The amplification of the shift in aggregate demand from expansionary fiscal policy, which raises incomes and further increase consumption expenditures
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Investment accelerator
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The amplification of the shift in aggregate demand from expansionary fiscal policy, which raises investment expenditures
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Marginal propensity to consume, or MPC
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The fraction of extra income that a household spends on consumption
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Crowding-out effect
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The dampening of the shift in aggregate demand from expansionary fiscal policy, which raises the interest rate and reduces investment spending
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Stabilization policy
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The use of fiscal and monetary policies to reduce fluctuations in the economy
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Automatic stabilizers
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Changes in fiscal policy that do not required deliberate action on the part of policy makers
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Keynes's liquidity preference theory of the interest rate suggests that the interest rate is determined by
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the supply and demand for money.
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When money demand is expressed in a graph with the interest rate on the vertical axis and the quantity of money on the horizontal axis, an increase in the interest rate
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decreases the quantity demanded of money.
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When the supply and demand for money are expressed in a graph with the interest rate on the vertical axis and the quantity of money on the horizontal axis, an increase in the price level
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shifts money demand to the right and increases the interest rate.
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For the United States, the most important source of the downward slope of the aggregate-demand curve is
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the interest-rate effect.
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In the market for real output, the initial effect of an increase in the money supply is to
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shift aggregate demand to the right.
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The initial effect of an increase in the money supply is to
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decrease the interest rate.
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The long-run effect of an increase in the money supply is to
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increase the price level.
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Suppose a wave of investor and consumer pessimism causes a reduction in spending. If the Federal Reserve chooses to engage in activist stabilization policy, it should
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increase the money supply and decrease interest rates.
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The initial impact of an increase in government spending is to shift
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aggregate demand to the right.
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If the marginal propensity to consume (MPC) is 0.75, the value of the multiplier is
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4.
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An increase in the marginal propensity to consume (MPC)
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raises the value of the multiplier.
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Suppose a wave of investor and consumer optimism has increased spending so that the current level of output exceeds the long-run natural rate. If policymakers choose to engage in activist stabilation policy, they should
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decrease government spending, which shifts aggregate demand to the left.
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When an increase in government purchases raises incomes, shifts money demand to the right, raises the interest rate, and lowers investment, we have seen a demonstration of
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the crowding-out effect.
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Which of the following statements regarding taxes is correct?
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A permanent change in taxes has a greater effect on aggregate demand than a temporary change in taxes.
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Suppose the government increases its purchases by $16 billion. If the multiplier effect exceeds the crowding-out effect, then
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the aggregate-demand curse shifts to the right by more than $16 billion
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When an increase in government purchases increases the income of some people, and those people spend some of that increase in income on additional consumer goods, we have seen a demonstration of
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the multiplier effect.
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When an increase in government purchases causes firms to purchase additional plant and equipment, we have seen a demonstration of
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the investment accelerator.
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Which of the following is an automatic stabilizer?
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unemployment benefits
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Which of the following statements about stabilization policy is true?
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Many economists prefer automatic stabilizers because they affect the economy with a shorter lag when activist stabilization policy.
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Which of the following best describes how an increase in the money supply shifts aggregate demand?
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The money supply shifts right, the interest rate falls, investment increases, and aggregate demand shifts right.
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In long run interest rate is determined by
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supply and demand for loanable funds
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In the short run intereste rate is determined by
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supply and demand for money
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In short run, price level is sticky and...
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cannot adjust
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In the short run fiscal policies affect
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aggregate demand
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In the long run fiscal policies influence
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growth
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For every dollar the government spends, aggregate demand shifts to the right by...
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1 / (1-MPC)
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If the MPC is 0.75 than the multiplier (aka shift) is...
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1 / (1 - 0.75) = 1 / 0.25 = 4
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The crowding out affect worksin the opposite direction of the
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multiplier
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In crease in government purchases, means increase in income, demand for money goes to the right...which raises interest rates
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which lowers investments
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The other half of fiscal policy is
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taxation
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If taxes are reduced, take home pay is increased and therefore
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consumption increases
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What are the two reasons that fiscal policies effects aggregate supply?
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1) reduce taxes, more incentive to work, aggregate supply shift to the right 2) gov't purchases (roads/bridges) increase amount of goods supplied at each price level...aggregate supply shift to the right
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change in output demanded
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= change in spending on output
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Change in output demanded ( ^ Y) =
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[ 1 / (1 - MPC ) ] x [ change in G ]
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activist stabilization policy is a way to use discretionary monetary/fiscal policies to
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1) minimize flucuation of output and 2) maintain output and long-run natural rate
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Activist stabilization policies can be used to move long-run natrual rate
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from levels that are above or below the natural rate of output
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A period of mildly falling incomes and rising unemployment
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Recession
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A period of unusually severe falling incomes and rising
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Depression
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Short-run economic fluctuations
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The business cycle
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The model most economists use to explain short-run fluctuations in the economy around its long-run trend
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Model of aggregate demand and supply
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A curve that shows the quantity of goods and services that households, firms, the government, and customers abroad are willing to buy at each price level
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Aggregate-demand curve
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A curve that shows the quantity of goods and services that firms are willing to produce at each price level
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Aggregate-supply curve
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The production of goods and services that an economy achieves in the long run when unemployment is at its natural or normal rate
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Natural rate of output
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Costs associated with changing prices
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Menu costs
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A period of falling output and rising prices
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Stagflation
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A policy of increasing aggregate demand in response to a decrease in short-run aggregate supply
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Accommodative policy
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Why can a variety of spending, income, and output measures can be used to measure economic fluctuations?
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because most macroeconomic quantities tend to fluctuate together.
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According to the interest-rate effect aggregate demand slopes downward (negatively) because
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lower prices reduce money holdings, increase lending, interest rates fall, and investment spending increases.
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What would not cause a shift in the long-run aggregate-supply curve?
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An increase in price expectations
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NOT a reason why the aggregate-demand curse slopes downward?
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The classical dichotomy/monetary neutrality effects
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The model of aggregate demand and aggregate supply, the initial impact of an increase in consumer optimism is to
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shift aggregate demand to the right.
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What is true regarding the long-run aggregate-supply curve? The long-run aggregate-supply curve
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is vertical because an equal change in all prices and wages leaves output unaffected.
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According to the wealth effect, aggregate demand slopes downward (negatively) because
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lower prices increase the value of money holdings and consumer spending increases.
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The natural rate of output is the amount of real GDP produced
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when the economy is at the natural rate of unemployment.
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Suppose the price level falls. Because of fixed nominal wage contracts, firms become less profitable and they cut back on productions. This is a demonstration of the sticky-wage theory of the
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sticky-wage theory of the short-run aggregate-supply curve.
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Suppose the price level falls but suppliers only notice that the price of the particular product has fallen. Thinking there has been a fall in the relative price of their product, they cut back on production. This is a demonstration of the
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misperceptions theory of the short-run aggregate-supply curve.
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Suppose the economy is initially in long-run equilibrium. Then suppose there is a reduction in military spending due to the end of the Cold War. According to the model of aggregate demand and aggregate supply, what happens to prices and output in the short run?
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Prices fall; output falls.
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Suppose the economy is initially in long-run equilibrium. Then suppose there is a reduction in military spending due to the end of the Cold War. According to the model of aggregate demand and aggregate supply, what happens to prices and output in the long run?
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Prices fall; output is unchanged from its initial value.
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Suppose the economy is initially in long-run equilibrium. Then suppose there is a drought that destroys much of the wheat crop. According to the model of aggregate demand and aggregate supply, what happens to prices and output in the short run?
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Prices rise; output falls.
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Suppose the economy is initially in long-run equilibrium. Then suppose there is a drought that destroys much of the wheat crop. If policymakers allow the economy to adjust to long-run equilibrium on its own, according to the model of aggregate demand and aggregate supply, what happens to prices and output in the long run?
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Output and the price level are unchanged from their initial values.
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Stagflation occurs when the economy experiences
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rising prices and falling output.
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What events shifts the short-run aggregate-supply curve to the right?
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a drop in oil prices
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Whenever the economy is in recession, we can expect:
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investment to decrease
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What occurs when the price level rises?
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People need to hold more money, so interest rates rise, making firms borrow and invest less.
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What would cause the aggregate demand curve to shift to the right?
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A new law that requires the government to cover the full cost of medicines for the elderly.
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The long run aggregate supply curve is ________, because in the long-run, nominal variables, such as the price level, ________ affect real variables, such as the production of goods and services in the economy.
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vertical, do not
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The long run aggregate supply will shift to the right whenever:
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factors of production (such as labor and capital) increase.
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What would cause the short run aggregate supply curve to shift to the left, but have no effect over the long run aggregate supply?
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Prices of inputs (such as wages or oil prices) increase.
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If an economy is in a state of long run equilibrium, all of the following will occur, what would NOT happen
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the economy will be producing its natural rate of output.
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Suppose the economy is in long run equilibrium. If aggregate demand increases, we can expect that in the short run output will ________, and in the long run output will ________.
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increase, return to the natural rate of output
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Suppose the economy is in long run equilibrium. If the stock market crashes in the short run, we can expect the price level to ________, and output to ________
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decrease, decrease
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Suppose the economy is in long-run equilibrium. If the price of oil increases substantially, in the short run, we can expect the price level to ________, and output to ________
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increase, decrease
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What is included in the aggregate demand for goods and services?
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consumption demand, investment demand, net exports
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When the price level falls the quantity of
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consumption goods demanded and the quantity of net exports demanded both rise.
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As the price level falls,
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the exchange rate falls, so net exports rise.
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From 2001 to 2005 there was a dramatic rise in the price of houses. If this made people feel wealthier, then it would shift
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aggregate demand right.
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The long-run aggregate supply curve shows that by itself a permanent change in aggregate demand would lead to a long-run change
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in the price level, but not output.
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Over the last fifty years both real GDP and prices have trended upward in most countries. Continuing real GDP growth and inflation can be explained by
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continued technological progress and continuing increases in the money supply.
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The sticky-wage theory of the short-run aggregate supply curve says that when the price level rises more than expected,
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production is more profitable and employment rises.
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An increase in the expected price level shifts the
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the short-run but not the long-run aggregate supply curve left.
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Economic expansions in Germany and Japan would cause
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the U.S. price level and real GDP to rise.
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In recent years, the Federal Reserve has conducted policy by setting a target for the
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federal funds rate.
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People choose to hold a smaller quantity of money if
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the interest rate rises, which causes the opportunity cost of holding money to rise.
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In the graph of the money market, the money supply curve is
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vertical. It shifts rightward if the Fed buys bonds.
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According to liquidity preference theory, if the price level decreases, then
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the interest rate falls because money demand shifts left.
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If the Federal Reserve decided to lower interest rates, it could
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buy bonds to raise the money supply.
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If the stock market crashes, then
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aggregate demand decreases, which the Fed could offset by increasing the money supply.
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If the MPC = 3/5, then the government purchases multiplier is
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5/2
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Explain the crowding-out effect?
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An increase in government expenditures increases the interest rate and so reduces investment spending.
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If households view a tax cut as temporary, then the tax cut
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has less of an affect on aggregate demand than if households view it as permanent.
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The short-run Phillips curve shows the combinations of
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unemployment and inflation that arise in the short run as aggregate demand shifts the economy along the short-run aggregate supply curve.
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In the late 1960s, economist Edmund Phelps published a paper that
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argued that there was no long-run tradeoff between inflation and unemployment.
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An increase in expected inflation shifts
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the short-run Phillips curve right.
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Friedman and Phelps concluded that
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in the long run the Phillips curve is vertical, which is consistent with classical theory.
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A policy intended to reduce unemployment by taking advantage of a tradeoff between inflation and unemployment leads to
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higher inflation and no change in unemployment in the long run.
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An adverse supply shock will shift short-run aggregate supply
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left, making prices rise.
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If there is an adverse supply shock, then
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unemployment rises and the short-run Phillips curve shifts right.
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The sacrifice ratio is the
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number of percentage points annual output falls for each percentage point reduction in inflation.
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If people believe that the central bank is going to reduce inflation
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the short-run Phillips curve shifts left and the sacrifice ratio will fall.
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