psychology hindsight bias – Flashcards

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hindsight bias
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tendency to believe after learning an outcome, that one would have foreseen it. "I knew it all along"
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overconfidence
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together with hindsight bias, can lead to overestimate our intuition
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critical thinking
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thinking that does not blindly accept arguments and conclusions. it examines assumptions,discerns, and hidden value. "smart thinking"
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theory
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explanation using an integrated set of principles that organizes observations and predicts behaviors or events. "mere hunch"
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hypothesis
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testable prediction often implied by a theory
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operational definition
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statement of the procedures used to define research variables
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replication
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REPEATING the essence of a research study, usually with different participants in different situations to see whether the basic finding extends to other participants and circumstances
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case study
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observation technique in which one person is studied in depth in the hope of revealing universal principals
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survey
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technique of ascertaining the self-reported attitudes of behaviors of a particular group, usually by questioning a representative,random sample of the group
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naturalistic observation
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observe and record behavior in naturally occurring situations without trying to manipulate and control the situation
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correlation
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measure of the extent to which 2 factors vary together and thus of how well either factor predicts the other
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scatterplot
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graphed cluster of dots, each of which represents the values of 2 variables. the slope of points suggests the direction of the relationship between the 2
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illusory correlation
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perception of a relationship where no one exists
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experiment
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research method in which an investigator manipulates one or more factors to observe the effect on some behavior or mental process
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double-blind procedure
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both research participants and the research staff are ignorant about whether the research participants have received the treatment or the placebo
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placebo effect
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experimental results caused by expectation alone, any effect on behavior caused by the administration of an inert substance or condition
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