Investment Mgmt – Flashcards

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Measures time-weighted returns & allows for compounding
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geometric avg return
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Complete portfolio refers to the investment in:
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the risk-free asset and the risky portfolio combined
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Timing good last year. Invested more in your portfolio right before prices went up and sold before prices went down. In calculating historical performance measures, which one will be the largest:
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dollar-weighted return
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market risk premium defined as
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the difference between return on an index fund & return on treasury bills
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rate of return on ___ is known at the beginning of the holding period, while rate of return on __ is not known until end of holding period
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treasury bills, risky assets
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In the mean standard deviation graph, the line that connects the risk-free rate and optimal risky portfolio P is called:
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capital allocation line
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You invest all your money in 1 year T bills. Following statements are correct
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your nominal return on the T-bills is riskless, your nominal sharpe ratio is zero
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The CAL provided by combinations of 1 month Tbills and a broad index of common stocks is called the
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CML
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Arguments supporting passive investment strategies
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active trading strategies may not guarantee higher returns but guarantee higher costs, passive investors can free-ride on the activity of knowledge investors whose trade force prices to reflect currently available info
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risk that can be eliminated through diversification is called:
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unique risk, firm-specific risk ,diversifiable risk
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adding additional risky assets to the investment opportunity set will generally move the efficient frontier
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UP & LEFT
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investors degree of risk aversion will determine
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optimal mix of risk-free asset and risky asset
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correlation coefficient between two assets equals
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their covariance divided by the product of their st devs
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expected rate of return of a portfolio of risky securities is
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the weighted sum of the securities' expected returns
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beta is a measure of security responsiveness to
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market risk
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firm specific risk is also called:
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unique risk, diversifiable risk
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Harry Markowitz is best known for work on
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techniques used to identify efficient portfolios of risky assets
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Suppose that a stock portfolio and a bond portfolio have a zero correlation. this means that
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the returns on the stock and bond portfolios tend to vary independently of each other
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on a standard expected return vs standard deviation graph, investors will prefer portfolios that lie to the ___ of the current investment opportunity set
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LEFT & ABOVE
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complete portfolio refers to a portfolio consisting of
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the risk-free asset combined w at least one risky asset
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rational risk-averse investors will always prefer portfolios
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located on the CML to those located on the efficient frontier
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The optimal risky portfolio can be identified by finding:
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the tangency point of the CML and the efficient frontier, the line w the steepest slope that connects the riskfree rate to efficient frontier
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the part of a stock's return that is systematic is a function of which of the following variables:
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volatility in excess returns of the stock market, the sensitivity of the stock's returns to changes in the stock market
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According to Tobin's separation property, portfolio choice can be separated into 2 independent tasks consisting of
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identifying the optimal risky portfolio & constructiong a complete portfolio from T-bills and the optimal risky portfolio based on the investors degree of risk aversion
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You are recalculating the risk of ACE stock in relaation to the market index, and you find that the ratio of the systematic variance to the total variance has risen. you must also find that the
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correlation coefficient between ACE and the market has risen
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the values of beta coefficients of securities are
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usually positive but not restricted
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a security's beta coefficient will be negative if
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its returns are negatively correlated w market-index returns
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the market value weighted avg beta of firms included in the market index will always be
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1
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some diversification benefits can be achieved by combining securities in a portfolio as long as the correlation between the securities is
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less than 1
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if an investor does not diversify his portfolio and puts all his money in one stock, the appropriate measure of security risk for that investor is the:
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stocks st dev
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which of the following provides the best example of a systematic-risk event
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federal reserve increases interest rates 50 basis points
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Decreasing the # of stocks in a portfolio from 50 to 10 would likely
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increase the unsystematic risk of the portfolio`
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If you want to know the portfolio st dev for a 3 stock portfolio you will have to
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calculate 3 covariances
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What correlation coefficient will produce the least diversification benefit
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the highest #
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which correlation coefficient will produce the most diversification benefits
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the lowest number
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What is the most likely correlation coefficient between a stockindex mutual fund and the SP500
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1
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as you lengthen the time horizon of you investment period and decide to invest for multiple years, you will find that:
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the average risk per year may be smaller over longer investment horizons, the overall risk of your investment will compound over time
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you are considering adding a new security to your portfolio. to decide whether you should add the security, you need to know the securities:
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expected return, st dev, correlation w portfolio
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an adjusted beta will be __ than the unadjusted beta
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closer to 1
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assumptions of the simple CAPM model:
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All the options
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in CAPM, the systematic measure of risk is captured by:
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beta
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if enough investors decide to purchase stocks, they are likely to drive up stock prices thereby causing:
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expected returns to fall; risk premiums to fall
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the market portfolio has a beta of
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1
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in a well-diversified portfolio, __ risk is negligible
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unsystematic
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if all investors become more risk averse, the SML will ___ and stock prices will ___
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have the same intercept with a steeper slope; fall
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arbitrage is based on the idea that:
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assets w identical risks must have the same expected rate of return
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investors require a risk premium as compensation for bearing:
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systematic risk
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according to the CAPM, a fairly priced security will plot:
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along the SML
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according to the CAPM, fairly priced securities have:
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zero alphas
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the graph of the relationship between expected return and beta in the CAPM is called
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SML
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the beta of a security is equal to
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the covariance between the security and market returns divded by the variance of the markets returns
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according to the CAPM, in equilibrium....
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all securities returns must lie on the SML
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according to CAPM, which of the following is not a true statement regarding the market portfolio
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it is always the minimum-variance portfolio on the efficient frontier
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in a world where the CAPM holds, which one of the following is not a true statement regarding the CML
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the capital market line is also called the security market line
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an important characteristic of market equilibrium is
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the absence of arbitrage opportunities
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according to the CAPM, the risk premium an investor expects to receive on any stock or portfolio is
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directly related to the beta of the stock
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in his famous critique of the CAPM, Roll argued that the CAPM
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is not testable because the true market portfolio can never be observed
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which of the following variables do Fama and French claim do a better job explaining stock returns than beta:
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book to market ratio, firm size
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the SML is valid for ___ and the CML is valid for ___
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both well-diversified portfolios and individual assets; well difersified portoflios only
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according to capital asset pricing theory, the key determinant of portfolio returns is
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the systematic risk of the portfolio
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the expected return of the risky-asset portfolio w minimum variance is
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tcant be determined
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the most significant conceptual difference between the arbitrage pricing theory and the CAPM is that
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the CAPM recognizes only one systematic risk factor
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the measure of unsystematic risk can be found from an index model as
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residual standard devaiton
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standard deviation of portfolio returns is a measure of
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total risk
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the measure of risk used in the CAPM model is
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beta
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which of the following beliefs would not preclude charting as a method of portfolio mgmt
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stock prices follow recurring patterns
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the weak form of the EMH states that __ must be reflected in the current stock price
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all past info
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the semistrong form of the EMH states that __ must be reflected in the current stock price
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all publicly available info
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the strong form of the EMH states that __ must be reflected
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all information, including inside info
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evidence suggests that there may be __ momentum and __ reversal patterns in stock price behavior
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short run; long run
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proponents of the EMH typically advocate
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a passive investment strategy
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the tendency when the __ performing stocks in one period are the best performers in the next and the current __ performers are lagging is called the reversal effect
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worst; best
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which of the following is not amethod employed by followers of technical analysis
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earnigns forecasting
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which of the following is not a method employed by fundamental analysis
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relative strength analysis
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the primary objective of fundamental analysis is to identify
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mispriced stocks
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if you believe in the __ form of the EMH, you believe that stock prices reflect all publicly available info but not inside info
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semistrong
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you believe that stock prices reflect all info that can be derived by examining market trading data but you do not believe stock prices reflect all publicly available info and inside info. this is __ form of EMH
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weak
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mutual fund that attempts to hold quantities of shares in proportion to their representation in the stock market is called a __ fund
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index
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choosing stocks by searching for predictable patterns in stock prices is called
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technical analysis
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which is not an issue that is central to debate regarding market efficiency
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the tax-loss selling issue
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small firms have tended to earn abnormal returns in
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january
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fama and French suggested that many market anomalies can be explained as manifestations of
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varying risk premiums
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proponents of the EMH think technical analysts
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are wasting time
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evidence supporting semistromg form market efficiency suggest investors should
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use a passive trading strategy
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"buy a stock if its price moves up by 2% more than Dow average" example of
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trading rule
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according to research by Ball and Brown, securities markets fully adjust to earnings annoucncements
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gradually over time
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when stock returns exhibit positive serial correlation, this means that __ returns tend to follow __ returns
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positive; positive
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Basu found that firms with high P/E ratios:
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earned lower avg returns than firms w low P/E ratios
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fundamental analysis is likely to yield best results for
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neglected stocks
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According to Laporta's study, which stock is likely to generate greatest alpha
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the stock expected to generate poor earnings growth
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even if the markets are efficient, professional portfolio mgmt. is still important because it provides investors w
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low cost diversification, portfolio w a specified risk level
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Banz found that on avg, the risk adjusted returns of small firms:
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were higher than the risk-adjusted returns of large firms
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DeBondt and Thaler found
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good; poor
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JM keyes : example of __ problem
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lucky event
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most tests of semistrong efficiency are
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joint tests of market efficiency and the risk-adjustment measure
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the broadest info set is included in the
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strong form
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Fama French evidence that high book to market firms outperform low book to market firms even after adjusting for beta means that
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either book to market firms are underpriced or book to market ratio is a proxy
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the term random walk is used in investments to refer to
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stock price changes that are random and unpredictable
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Market efficiency characteristics
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all 3
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stock market analyssts have tended to be __
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overwhelmingly optimistic
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assume that a company announces unexpectedly high earnings. one might expect
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an abnormal price change immediately after the announcement
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market anomaly refers to
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price behavior tha differs from the behavior predicted by the efficne tmarket hypotesis
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which contradicts the proposition tha the stock market is weakly efficient
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every January, stock market earns above normal returns
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which observation would appear to contradict weak form of EMH
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you could have consistently made superior returns by buying stock after a 10% rise in price and selling after a 10% fall
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the semistrong form of the EMH implies that __ generate abnormal returns and __ generate abnormal returns
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tenchincal analysis cannot; fundamental analysis cannot
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implication of the EMH is that
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nonzero alphas will quickly disappear
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one type of passive portfolio mgmt. is
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investing in a well diversified portfolio w out attempting to search out mispriced securities
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value stocks usually exhibit __ price to book ratios and __ price to earnings ratios
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low low
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growth stocks usually exhibit __ price to book ratios and __ price to earnings ratios
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high; high
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a technical analyst is most likely to be affiliated with which investment philosophy
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active mgmt
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someone who invests in vanguard index 500 describes which approach
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passive
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evidence by blake, Elton gruber indicates that actively managed bond funds
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underperform passive fixed income indexes by an amount equal to fund expenses
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insiders are able to profitably trade and earn abnormal returns prior to announcement of positive news. this violates what:
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strong-form efficiency
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in an efficient market and for an investor who believes in a passive approach to investing, what is the parimary duty of portfolio manager
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diversificatino
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which fidelity Magellan portfolio manager is often referneces as an exxception
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peter lynch
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tendency of poorly performing stocks and wellperforming stocks in one period to continue their performance into the next period
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momentum effect
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concept might explain the ability to produce excess returns on this stock
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neglected-firm effect
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when testing mutual fund performance over time, be careful of
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survivorship bias
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testing many dif trading rules until you find one that would would have worked in the past
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data mining
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models of financial markets that emphasize psychological factors affecting investor behavior
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behavioral finance
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technical analysis focuses on
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finding repeating trends and patterns in prices
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behaviorlists point out that even if market prices are __ there may be __
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distorted; limited arbitrage opportunities
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when stock price breaks through the moving avg from below, this is considered to be
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a bullish signal
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When the stock price falls below a moving average, a possible conclusion is that _____.
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B. market momentum has become negative
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A support level is ___________________.
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a level below which the market is unlikely to fall
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Conventional finance theory assumes investors are _______, and behavioral finance assumes investors are _______.
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rational; irrational
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The only way for behavioral patterns to persist in prices is if ______________.
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there are limits to arbitrage activity
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If investors are too slow to update their beliefs about a stock's future performance when new evidence arises, they are exhibiting _______.
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conservatism
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If investors overweight recent performance in forecasting the future, they are exhibiting ___
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representativeness bias
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Your two best friends each tell you about a person they know who successfully started a small business. That's it, you decide; if they can do it, so can you. This is an example of _____________.
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representativeness bias
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An investor holds a very conservative portfolio invested for retirement, but she takes some extra cash she earned from her year-end bonus and buys gold futures. She appears to be engaging in ___________.
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mental accounting
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Which of the following analysts focus more on past price movements of a firm's stock than on the underlying determinants of its future profitability?
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technical analysts
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An investor needs cash to pay some hospital bills. He is willing to use his dividend income to pay the bills, but he will not sell any stock to do so. He is engaging in ___________.
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metnal accounting
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Bill and Shelly are friends. Bill invests in a portfolio of hot stocks that almost all his friends are invested in. Shelly invests in a portfolio that is totally different from the portfolios of all her friends. Both Bill's and Shelly's stocks fall 15%. According to regret theory, _________________________________________.
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Shelly will have more regret over the loss than Bill
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Jill is offered a choice between receiving $50 with certainty or possibly receiving the proceeds from a gamble. In the gamble a fair coin is tossed, and if it comes up heads, Jill will receive $100; if the coin comes up tails, she will receive nothing. Jill chooses the $50 instead of the gamble. Jill's behavior indicates __________________.
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C. that she has a diminishing marginal utility of wealth
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_________ is a value above which it is difficult for the market to rise.
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resistence level
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If the utility you derive from your next dollar of wealth increases by less than a loss of a dollar reduces it, you are exhibiting _________
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loss aversion
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In technical analysis, __________ is a value below which the market is relatively unlikely to fall
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support level
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A possible limit on arbitrage activity that may allow behavioral biases to persist is _______.
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fundamental risk
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The tendency of investors to hold on to losing investments is called the ________.
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disposition effect
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Which one of the following best describes fundamental risk?
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You buy a stock that you believe is underpriced, and the underpricing persists for a long time, hurting your short-term results.
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Problems with behavioral finance include:
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all the above
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Investors gravitate toward the latest hot stock even though it has never paid a dividend. Even though net income is projected to fall over the current and next several years, the price of the stock continues to rise. What behavioral concept may explain this price pattern?
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overconfidence
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