Business Cycles, Unemployment, and Inflation Chapter 9 – Flashcards

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business cycles
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recurring increases and decreases in the level of economic activity over periods of years; consists of peak, recession, trough, and expansion phases.
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peak
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the point in a business cycle at which business activity has reached a temporary maximum; the economy is near or at full employment and the level of real output is at or very close to the economy's capacity
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recession
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a period of declining real GDP, accompanied by lower real income and higher unemployment
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trough
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the point in a business cycle at which business activity has reached a temporary minimum; the point at which a recession has ended and an expansion (recovery) begins
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expansion
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a phase of the business cycle in which real GDP, income, and employment rise.
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labor force
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persons 16 years of age and older who are not in institutions and who are employed or are unemployed and seeking work.
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unemployment rate
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the percentage of the labor force unemployed at any time.
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discouraged workers
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employees who have the left the labor force because they have not been able to find employment
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frictional unemployment
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a type of unemployment caused by workers voluntarily changing jobs and by temporary lay-offs; unemployed workers between jobs.
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structural employment
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unemployment of workers whose skills are not demanded by employers, who lack sufficient skill to obtain ex: offshoring
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cyclical unemployment
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a type of unemployment caused by insufficient total spending (or by insufficient aggregate demand) ex: usually happens when the recession begins.
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full-employment rate of unemployment
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the unemployment rate at which there is no cyclical unemployment of the labor force; equal to between 4-5% in the United States because some frictional and structural unemployment is unavoidable
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natural rate of unemployment
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the full-employment rate of unemployment; the unemployment rate occurring when there is no cyclical unemployment and the economy is achieving its potential output; the unemployment rate at which actual inflation equals expected inflation.
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potential output
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the real output (GDP) an economy can produce when it fully employs its available resources
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GDP gap
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actual gross domesticate minus potential output; may be either a positive amount ( a positive amount (a positive GDP gap) or a negative amount (a negative GDP gap)
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Okun's law
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the generalization that any 1% point rise in the unemployment rate above the full-employment rate of unemployment is associated with the rise in the negative GDP gap by 2 % of potential output (potential GDP)
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inflation
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a rise in general level of prices in an economy; measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI); each dollar of income will buy fewer goods and services than before
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deflation
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a decline in the economy's price level
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Consumer Pice Index (CPI)
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an index that measures the prices of a fixed "market basket" of some 300 goods and services bought by a "typical" consumer
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demand-pull inflation
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increases in the price level (inflation) resulting from an excess of demand over output at the existing price level, caused by an increase in aggregate deman
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cost-push inflation
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increases in the price level (inflation) resulting from an increase in resource costs (for example, raw-material prices) and hence in per-unit production costs; inflation caused by reductions in aggregate supply; supply shocks push up per-unit production costs and ultimately raise the prices of consumer goods; reduces real output and employment
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per-unit production costs
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the average production cost of a particular level of output; total input cost divided by units output
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core inflation
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the underlying increases in the price level after volatile food and energy prices are removed
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nominal income
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number of dollars received by an individual or group for its resources during some period of time.
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real income
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The amount of goods and services that can be purchased with nominal income during some period of time; nominal income adjusted
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unanticipated inflation
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increases in the price level (inflation) at a rate greater than expected; redistributes real income at the expense of fixed-income receivers, creditors, and savers.
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anticipated inflation
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increase in the price level (inflation) that occur at the expected rate; lenders add an inflation premium to the interest rate charged on loans. (the nominal interest rate thus reflects the real interest rate plus the inflation premium-the expected rate of inflation)
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per-unit production costs
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the average production cost of a particular level of output; total cost divided by units of output
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cost-of-living adjustments (COLAs)
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an automatic increase in the incomes (wages) of worker when inflation occurs; guaranteed by a collective bargaining contract between firms and workers
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real interest rate
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the interest rate expressed in dollars of constant value (adjusted for inflation) and equal to the nominal interest are less the expected rate of inflation
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hyperinflation
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a very rapid rise in the price level; an extremely high rate of inflation
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What are the immediate causes of fluctuating real output and employment?
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the level of total spending
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What does the business cycle have greater effects on?
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output and employment in the capital goods and durable consumer goods industries than in the services and nondurable goods and industries
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The GDP gap can be seen as..
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a positive or negative value; found by subtracting potential GDP from actual GDP
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What is the economic cost of unemployment measured by?
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the GDP gap which consists of the goods and services forgone by society when its resources are involuntarily idle.
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What does Okun's law suggests?
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it suggests that every 1% point increase in unemployment above the natural rate causes an additional 2% negative GDP gap
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What are the possible general sources of shocks that can cause business cycles?
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1. irregular innovation 2. productivity changes 3. monetary factors 4. political events 5. financial instability
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Who are affected the most by business cycles?
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firms and industries producing capital and consumer goods
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Who are protected the most from the most severe effects of the recession?
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service industries that produce nondurable consumer goods
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What are 2 problems that arise over the course of the business cycle?
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1. unemployment 2. inflation
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Who conducts a nationwide random survey of some 60,000 households each month to determine who and who isn't employed?
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The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
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The BLS divides the total U.S. pop into 3 groups..
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1. those who are under 16 2. "not in the labor force" 3. those in the labor force
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Who was the 1st to quantify the relationship between the unemployment rate and GDP gap?
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Okun
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Who is hurt by inflation?
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1. fixed income receivers 2. creditors 3. savers
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Who is unaffected or helped by Inflation?
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1. flexible income receivers 2. debtors
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