ECON 202 – Chapter 10 & 11 – Flashcards
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What is inflation?
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an increase in the overall price level
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Which of the following provides the best evidence that inflation has occurred?
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A person whose salary has increased is able to purchase fewer goods and services.
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A negative rate of inflation implies that deflation has taken place.
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True
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Deflation means that overall price level is decreasing.
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True
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While theoretically possible, deflation has never been observed in the United States.
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False
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When the GDP deflator is less than 100, we know that deflation must have taken place this year.
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False
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Deflation means that the overall price level is increasing at a decreasing rate.
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False
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Which of the following most accurately characterizes the method used to calculate inflation?
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Analyst measure the cost of a bundle of goods representative of overall spending at two points in time and compare the difference in cost.
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Why is a hypothetical "basket" of goods used to measure inflation?
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Consumers can see the general increase in price over time by using a basket of goods.
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Inflation is often measured by evaluating changes in the cost of a fixed basket of goods and services. This method _____ inflation because it does not account for changes in spending patterns that result from relative price changes.
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overestimates
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In the context of inflation, which of the following best describes substitution bias?
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Evaluating the price of a basket of goods over time doesn't account for changes that consumers make when the price of a particular good increases.
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Joy, who has borrowed $40,000 to pay for her college education.
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Winner (Inflation)
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The U.S. federal government, which had almost $15 trillion in debt in 2011.
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Winner (Inflation)
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Herb, who keeps his savings in an old coffee can.
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Loser (Inflation)
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3rd National, a bank that loaned many people money for home purchases.
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Loser (Inflation)
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Karen, a retired school teacher that relies upon her fixed pension to pay for her expenses.
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Loser (Inflation)
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In an economic context, what is indexing?
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The process of making payments dependent upon the overall price level
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In an economic context, what is a COLA?
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A cost-of-living adjustment
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% ∆ in Price Level=
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(Price Level in New Year −Price Level in Original Year)
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(Price Level in Original Year)
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Index Number
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(Total Amount Spent in Base Year)/100 =
(Total Amount Spent in Other Year)/X
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Consumer Price Index (CPI)
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A measure of inflation calculated by the government based on the price level from a basket of goods that represents the purchases of the average consumer.
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Substitution Bias
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It doesn't take into account that the person can substitute away from good whose prices rise by a lot and toward goods whose prices don't rise by much.
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Quality/New Goods Bias
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It doesn't take into account how improvements in the quality of existing goods or the invention of new goods improves the standard of living.
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Producer Price Index
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Inflation based on prices paid for inputs
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International Price Index
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Inflation based on prices of imports & exports
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Employment Cost Index
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Inflation based on wages paid in the labor market
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GDP Deflator
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Measure of inflation based on GDP
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Deflation
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Negative Inflation
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Hyperinflation
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Extremely high rates of Inflation
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Nominal Value
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The economic statistics actually announced at the time
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Real Value
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The economic statistics after it has been adjusted for inflation
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GDP (Y1) in Y2 currency
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GDP (Y1) in Y1 currency x (Price Level in Y2/Price Level in Y1)
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Real =
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Nominal - Inflation
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Over the last several decades, the U.S. has usually has
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a trade deficit
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When the U.S. 2008 recession began, the trade deficit
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decreased
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In 2006, which countries had a higher level of trade as a fraction of GDP than the U.S.?
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all of the others have a higher level of trade as a fraction of GDP (Mexico, India, China)
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Which countries have a larger trade deficit than the U.S.?
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none of those countries (Japan, WTB, Spain)
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If offshore outsourcing of labor increase, it will cause an existing trade deficit to
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Increase because of an increase in net import of services
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The government of a country with a trade surplus is
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a demander of financial capital if a budget deficit exists
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Comoros has a trade surplus
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True if Tuvalu has a trade deficit
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Tuvalu sends Comoros financial capital
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True is Tuvalu has a trade surplus
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Domestic investment increases faster than savings
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Increases Trade Deficit
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Increases in the domestic consumption of foreign goods
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Increase Trade Deficit
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Domestic consumer saving increases
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Decreases Trade Deficit
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Increase in domestic taxes collected
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Decreases Trade Deficit
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Domestic government spending decreases
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Decreases Trade Deficit
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Domestic private investment increases
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Likely to occur in an expansion and increase the trade deficit
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Imports increase
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Likely to occur in an expansion and increase the trade deficit
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Private savings increase
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Likely to occur in an expansion and decrease the trade deficit
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Government borrowing decreases
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Likely to occur in an expansion and decrease the trade deficit
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Assume that Bhutan has exports of $50 billion, imports of $45 billion and GDP of $200 billion. What is its level of trade?
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25%
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Trade deficits
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can be good for an economy if they reflect borrowing to finance productive capital
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Interest rates divided into 3 components
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Risk, Expected Inflation & Time Value of Money
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Real Interest Rate
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The rate of interest with inflation subtracted out
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Real Interest Rate =
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Nominal Interest Rate - Inflation Rate
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Real Interest Rate measures
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the lenders change in buying power
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If the prices of goods & services inflate faster than wages
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the buying power people possess will fall
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Unintended Redistribution of Buying Power (Harmed)
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Those holding cash or other investments with a negative real interest rate; Those on fixed incomes; Wage earners experiencing wage increase lag
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Unintended Redistribution of Buying Power (Benefit)
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Borrowers who have borrowed at a fixed interest rate
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Blurred Price Signals
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When changes in prices become uncertain, it's harder for markets to properly react. There are more shortages and surpluses
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Problems of Long-Term Planning
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High unexpected inflation makes it difficult to plan for things like retirement
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Benefit of Inflation
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Makes wages in labor markets more flexible
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Indexing
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When a price, wage or interest rate is adjusted automatically for inflation
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Balance of Trade
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The gap between a nations exports and imports
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Export
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Produced domestically, sold abroad
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Import
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Produced abroad, sold domestically
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Trade Surplus
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Exports > Imports
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Trade Deficit
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Imports > Exports
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Trade Balance
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Exports = Imports
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Current Account Balance
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Goods, Services, Income Payments, Unilateral Transfers
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Income Payments (Interest on Investment)
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Returns received by US financial investors on their foreign investments. Payments made by parties in the US economy to foreign investors
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Unilateral Transfers
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Payments sent abroad without any direct good or service attached
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When money comes in =
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Export
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When money comes out =
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Import
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Negative Current Account Balance
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Trade Deficit
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Positive Current Account Balance
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Trade Surplus
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International flows of goods and services are
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linked to international flows of financial capital
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Negative Current Account Balance means
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a larger flow of payments has left the country than entered. Financial capital investment arrives from abroad to finance the spending.
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Trade Deficit Equation
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(M-X) = I - S - (T-G)
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Financial capital flows
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in the same direction as the goods
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The quantity of financial capital supplied
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must equal the quantity of financial capital demanded
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S
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Private Sector Savings
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(M-X)
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The inflow of foreign financial capital
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I
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Private Sector Investment
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(G-T)
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Public Sector (Government) Borrowing
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National Savings & Identity Equation
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S + (M-X) = I + (G-T)
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Every dollar supplied by the private & foreign sector
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will be demanded by the private or public sector
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If there is a trade surplus (X-M)
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it becomes an outflow to the foreign sector; The foreign sector is demanding money
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If there is a government surplus (T-G)
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it becomes supply of financial capital; The public sector is supplying (saving) money
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A recession tends to
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make a trade deficit smaller, or a trade surplus bigger
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Imports fall
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No change (unknown) in exports
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An expansion causes
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the trade deficit to rise, or trade surplus to fall
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GDP =
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C + I + G
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Level of Trade =
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Exports / GDP