Econ Unit 4: Macroeconomics – Flashcards
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inflation
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a general increase in prices across an economy
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purchasing power
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ability to purchase goods or services
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price index
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measurement that shows how the average price of a standard group of goods changes over time
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Consumer Price Index
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price index determined by measuring the price of a standard group of goods meant to represent the "market basket" of a typical urban consumer; computed monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics
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market basket
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representative collection of goods and services
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inflation rate
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percentage rate of change in price level over time (usually 3% or below)
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CPI formula
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(updated cost/base period cost) x 100
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core inflation rate
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the rate of inflation excluding the effects of food and energy prices
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hyperinflation
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inflation that is out of control (100+% inflation rate); money loses its value, leads to economic collapse
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causes of inflation
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- growth of money supply - changes in aggregate demand - changes in aggregate supply
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quantity theory
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too much money in economy causes inflation; key is to increase supply of money at same rate economy is growing in order to minimize inflation
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aggregate demand
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amount of goods and services that can be purchased at all possible price levels
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aggregate supply
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amount of goods and services that can be sold at all other possible price levels
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wage-price spiral
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when rising wages cause higher prices, and higher prices cause higher wages
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effects of inflation
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- purchasing power: if inflation rate is positive, will lower purchasing power - income: if wage doesn't increase as much as inflation does - interest rates: interest rate - inflation rate = actual increase; if inflation rate - interest rate = break event
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fixed income
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income that does not increase even when prices go up; people with a fixed income are affected the most by inflation
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deflation
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a sustained drop in price level
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frictional unemployment
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when people take time to find a new job; most common kind of unemployment; - unemployment insurance gives income to laid-off workers seeking jobs, which may contribute to frictional unemployment
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structural unemployment
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when workers' skills do not match those needed for the job available
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5 causes of structural unemployment
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1) development of new technology 2) discovery of new resources 3) changes in consumer demand 4) globalization 5) lack of education
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globalization
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shift from local to global markets as countries seek foreign trade and investment; leads to relocation of jobs/facilities
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seasonal unemployment
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when industries slow/shut down because of harvest schedules, vacations, or when industries make seasonal shifts in their production schedule; normal part of healthy economy
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cyclical unemployment
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unemployment that rises during economic downturns and falls when economy improves
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factors outside economy
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1) attacks/wars 2) natural disasters
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Current Population Survey
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carried out monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics; interviews 60k families about employment that month
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unemployment
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percentage of nation's labor force that is unemployed; (unemployed divided by labor force); usually adjusted for seasonal unemployment
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labor force
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16 and older actively looking for job (not retirees, handicapped, prisoners, etc.)
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full employment
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when there is no cyclical unemployment (95%+ employed)
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underemployment
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working at a job for which one is overqualified or working part-time when full-time work is desired
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discouraged worker
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someone who wants a job but has given up looking; not counted in unemployment rate
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national income accounting
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system used to collect/organize statistics on production, income, investments and savings; used by Department of Commerce to make National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA)
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gross domestic product
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dollar value of all goods and services produced within a country's borders in a given year
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intermediate goods
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products used to produce final goods (not included in GDP) (i.e. memory chip in laptop)
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expenditure approach
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way to calculate GDP; sum of the amount spent on consumer goods and services, business goods and services, government goods and services, and net exports.
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durable goods
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consumer goods that last for a long time
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nondurable goods
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consumer goods that last for a short period of time
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net exports
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exports - imports
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income approach
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way to calculate GDP; sum of all incomes in an economy (b/c income = what people earn for producing the goods and services)
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nominal GDP
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GDP measured in current prices
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real GDP
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GDP expressed in unchanging prices; takes into account price increases and reflects accurate output
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what GDP doesn't take into account
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nonmarket activities, underground economy, negative externalities and quality of life
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nonmarket activities
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caring for children, washing dishes; only accounted in GDP if paying someone else to do these things for them
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underground economy
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black market, under the table wages, but also selling a bike to a friend or earning money from baby-sitting
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negative externalities
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unintended economic side effects (i.e. pollution, which affects price of plants)
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quality of life
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greater GDP doesn't necessarily mean greater quality of life
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gross national product
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annual income earned by a nation's firms and services; market value of all goods and services produced by Americans in one year
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depreciation
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loss of value of capital equipment as a result of wear and tear; not accounted for in GNP
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net national product
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GNP - cost of depreciation
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national income
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NNP adjusted for minor discrepancies in data
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personal income
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NI - (money that firms reinvest + income taxes firms pay + social security taxes)
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disposable personal income
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PI - (individual income + social security taxes)
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price level
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average of all prices in the economy
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effects of price level
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price level rises = real GDP/aggregate supply rises price level rises = aggregate demand goes down price level rises = purchasing power declines
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business cycle
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a period of macroeconomic expansion followed by a period of macroeconomic contraction
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expansion
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period of economic growth
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economic growth
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steady, long-term increase in real GDP
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peak
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height of an economic expansion; when real GDP stops rising
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contraction
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period of economic decline (real GDP falling)
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trough
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lowest point of an economic contraction; where GDP stops falling; new period of expansion begins
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recession
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a prolonged economic contraction (6-18 months); if GDP falls or at least 6 straight months; unemployment is 6-10%
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depression
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a long and severe recession; high unemployment, low economic output
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stagflation
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decline in real GDP (output) with a rise in price level (inflation)
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business cycles affected by:
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1. business investment 2. interest rates and credit 3. consumer expectations (of contraction/expansion) 4. external shocks (can be good or bad)
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leading indicators
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economic variables used to predict future trends in business cycle (i.e. stock market)
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fiscal policy
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the use of government spending/revenue to influence the economy (expand/slow economic growth, get full employment, maintain stable prices)
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federal budget
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document estimating federal government's revenue and authorizing spending for coming year; takes 18 months to prepare
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fiscal year
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12-month period used for budgeting purposes (gov. = Oct. 1-Sep. 30)
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4 steps federal budget process
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1. each federal agency sends to Office of Management and Budget estimate of how much it expects to spend in next fiscal year 2. executive branch creates budget in Jan/Feb; OMB usually gives less to each agency than it requests 3. Congress debates budget with help of Congressional Budget Office (gives independent economics data); Senate/House Budget Committees adjust budget; initial budget must be adopted by May 15; final resolution must be passed by September 25; if no appropriation bills submitted by Sep. 30, short-term funding must be passed; if no short-term funding, government shuts down 4. president either: a) sign bills into law b) vetoes (requires 2/3 override) c) works with Congress to create new budget
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appropriations bill
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authorizes specific amount of spending by the government
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expansionary policy
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fiscal policy that encourages economic growth (thru increased spending, tax cuts, etc.) - more goods/services = more jobs - gov. spending = inc. aggregate demand = higher prices = more production = more jobs = lower unemployment - lower taxes = more money to spend
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contractionary policy
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fiscal policy that reduces economic growth (thru decreased spending, higher taxes, etc.) - if demand exceeds supply - spend less = slower GDP growth
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problems with fiscal policy
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- entitlements (Medicaid, Social Security, etc.) have to be in budget every year - interest for national debt must still be paid - takes time to see effect, economy might already be moving in other direction - political struggles (contractionary unpopular) - agencies/branches have to coordinate with each other - different states' economic status quos may differ
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classical economics
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idea that free markets regulate themselves ("invisible hand")
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productive capacity
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maximum output an economy can sustain over time without increasing inflation (need more demand to reach productive capacity); full-employment output
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demand-side economics
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idea that demand for goods drives the economy
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Keynesian economics
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using demand-side economics as basis for encouraging government action to help economy; government can and should use fiscal policy to help economy
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2 fundamental macroeconomic problems
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1. periods of recession 2. periods of inflation
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Repubs vs. Dems in how to stimulate economy
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Repubs = tax cuts Dems = expansive government programs
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how government can reduce inflation
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increase taxes or increase spending (which decreases demand)
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multiplier effect
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idea that every one dollar change in fiscal policy creates a change greater than one dollar in the national income
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transfer payments
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transfers of cash from government to consumers
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automatic stabilizers of economic growth
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tools of fiscal policy that increases or decreases automatically depending on changes in GDP and personal income; taxes and transfer payments
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supply-side economics
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idea that the supply of good drives the economy
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Laffer curve
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high rates of taxation discourage workers from working so tax revenues will fall; 50% yields the highest revenue