Econ-Chapter 18 – Flashcards

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Net Exports (NX)
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Exports-Imports. They are equal to trade balance.
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Trade Surplus
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If exports > imports (NX>0)
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Trade Deficit
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If exports < Imports (NX<0)
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Balanced trade
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If Exports=Imports
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What effects NX? If U.S. consumers' behavior changes
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U.S imports
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What effects NX? If foreign consumers' behavior changes
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U.S exports
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Case 1. Canada experiences a recession (falling incomes, rising unemployment)
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-Canadians buy less of everything including US goods and services. -Canadian imports fall. U.S exports fall -> U.S NX fall
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Case 2. US consumers decide to be patriotic and buy more products "Made in USA"
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-this reduces US purchase of foreign goods -US imports fall ->> US net exports rise
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Case 3. Prices of goods produces in Mexico rise faster than prices of goods produced in US.
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-Mexican goods become more expensive than US goods -US goods become cheaper relative to Mexican goods -US people buy less Mexican goods, Mexican buy more US goods. -Exports rise and imports fall ->> US net exports rise
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What affects Net Exports?
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-the incomes of consumers home and abroad -the tastes of consumers for domestic and foreign goods -government policies toward international trade -the prices of goods at home and abroad -the nominal exchange rates between two countries
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How would the following transactions affect U.S. exports, imports, and net exports? a. An American art professor spends the summer touring museums in Europe.
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-US imports>> US NX falls
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How would the following transactions affect U.S. exports, imports, and net exports? b.Students in Paris flock to see the latest movie from Hollywood at a theater in Paris.
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US exports>> US NX rises
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How would the following transactions affect U.S. exports, imports, and net exports? c. Your uncle buys a new Volvo (made in Sweden)
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US imports>> US NX falls
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How would the following transactions affect U.S. exports, imports, and net exports? d.A Canadian citizen shops at a store in northern Vermont to avoid Canadian sales tax.
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US exports >> US NX rises
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Net Capital outflow (NCO)
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NCO= (Domestic purchase of Foreign assets)-(foreign purchases of Domestic assets) **purchase: buying= positive purchase selling=negative purchase
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NCO problem 1. A US citizen buys Canadian stocks
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-Domestic purchase of foreign assets= increase -US NCO Increases
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NCO prob 2. A US citizen sells canadian stocks
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-Domestic Purchase of Foreign assets decreases -US NCO decreases
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NCO prob 3. A canadian citizen buys US stocks
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-Foreign purchases of Domestic Assets Increases -US NCO decreases
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NCO Prob 4. A canadian citizen sells US Stocks
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-Foreign purchases of Domestic assets decreases -US NCO increases
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Net capital outflow of US increases if...
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-US residents buy foreign assets -foreigners sell US assets (negative Purchase)
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If NCO> 0
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"Capital outflow"
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If NCO<0
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"capital inflow"
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Physical assets
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physical capital: factories, equipment, etc.
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Financial assets
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stocks, bonds, foreign currencies, etc.
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Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)
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-Purchase of physical capital in foreign country -Domestic residents actively manage the foreign investment
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Example of Foreign Direct investment
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Honda expands its factory in Marysville, Ohio
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Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI)
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-Domestic residents buys foreign stocks, bonds, or currencies. -Foreign physical capital stock rises because FPI supplies loanable funds to foreign firms
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example of FPI
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A Fidelity mutual fund sells its Volkswagen stock to a French Investor
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FDI
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Purchase of physical capital in foreign country
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FPI
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Purchase of foreign stocks, bonds, or currencies
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Purchase of stocks: Less than 10% share of a firm
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FPI
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Purchase of Stocks: equal to or more than 10% share of a firm
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FDI
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Who is more likely to engage if foreign direct investment- a corporation or an individual investor?
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A corporation
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Who is more likely to invest in a foreign portfolio investment?
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An individual investor
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An American cellular phone company establishes an office in the Czech republic
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-FDI -US purchases: US NCO increases
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Harrods of London sells stock to the General Electric pension fund.
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-FPI -Negative foreign purchases of US assets: US NCO rises
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Honda expands its factory in Marysville, Ohio.
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-FDI -Foreign purchase of US assets: NCO falls
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A fidelity mutual fund sells its Volkswagen stock to a French investor.
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-FPI -Negative US purchase of foreign assets: US NCO falls
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US assets become more attractive.
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Foreign assets become less attractive. -both US people and foreigners buy more assets -US NCO falls and foreign NCO rises.
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US assets become less attractive.
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Foreign assets become more attractive. -Both US and foreigners buy more foreign assets. -US NCO rises, foreign NCO falls.
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case 1. Real interest rates on US assets rise compared to the rates on foreign assets.
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NCO falls at home (NCO rises abroad).
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case 2. The perceived risk of Euro and European assets in general rises compared to the risk level of US assets.
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-US NCO decreases. -NCOs for European countries increase
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case 3. In 1992 South Korea opens it's stock market for foreigners.
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-Korean NCO falls Increase in NCO in the US.
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What affects NCO?
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-real interest rates paid on foreign and domestic assets -Perceived risks of holding foreign assets (political and economic stability) -government policies affecting foreign ownership of domestic assets (restriction on asset holding by foreigners.
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NX=NCO. why?
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-Because every movement of goods and service, there is movement of money for the corresponding transaction. -this is an accounting identity (always true)
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Example: Ford keeps 20,000 euros.
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-US holding euro increases (US NCO UP by 20,000 euro)
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Example: Ford buys European stocks worth 20,000 euros.
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-US holding of European stocks increases. -(US NCO up by 20,000 euros)
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Example: Ford exchanges 20,000 euros for USD at a US bank
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-US holding of Euro increases, now the bank holds it. (US NCO UP by 20,000 euro)
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Example: Ford exchanges 20,000 euros for USD at a European Bank
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-Europe's holding of USD decreases (worth 20,000) (US NCO UP by 20,000)
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An American buys a Sony TV from Japan, pays with USD.
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-US imports. NX decrease -NCO must decrease
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An American buys a share of Sony stock, pays with USD
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-no goods and services transaction. NX unchanged. -NCO must remain unchanged as well.
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The Sony pension fund buys bonds from the US treasury and pays with Japanese Yen
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-NX unchanged (no goods and services) -NCO must be unchanged too.
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A worker at a Sony plant in Japan buys some Georgia peaches from an American farmer using Japanese Yen
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-NX increase -NCO must increase
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S-I =???
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NCO
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What does the "S" stand for in S-I=NCO?
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Domestic supply of loanable funds
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What does the "I" stand for in S-I=NCO
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Domestic demand for loanable funds.
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T/F: A country with negative net exports has a trade surplus
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False: it has a trade deficit
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T/F: Net capital outflow is foreign purchase of domestic assets minus the our purchase of the foreign assets.
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False: the opposite
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T/F: If a country's net exports fall, then its net capital outflow rises
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False: NX=NCO. They move together
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T/F: In an open economy, national savings can be less than the investment.
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True! S= I+NCO, so S<I if NCO is negative.
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Nominal Exchange Rate
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the rate at which one country's currency trades for another
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Appreciation
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An increase in the value of a currency. "strengthening"
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Depreciation
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a decrease in the value of a currency "weakening"
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Devaluation
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deliberate lowering of the value of a currency through currency market intervention.
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Real exchange rate
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The rate at which the goods and services of one country trade for those of another.
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Real exchange rate (equation)
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E= eP/P*
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e:
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Nominal exchange rate written as the amount of foreign currency per unit of domestic currency.
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P=
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domestic price index
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P*=
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foreign price index
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The US nominal exchange rate is unchanged, but prices rise faster in the US than abroad
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-US RER rises. US goods and services become more expensive.
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The US nominal Exchange rate is unchanged, but prices rise faster abroad than in the US.
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US RER falls. US goods and services become cheaper.
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The US nominal exchange rate declines, and prices are unchanged in the US and abroad.
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-US RER falls. US goods and services become cheaper.
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The US nominal exchange rate declines, and prices rise faster abroad than in the US.
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US RER falls. US goods and services become cheaper.
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Law of one Price
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the notion that a good should sell for the same price in all market
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Ensured by arbitrage:
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If prices are different in two locations, one can always make profit by buying the good at cheaper location and sell it at more expensive location.
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Higher domestic inflation
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lowers the value of domestic currency
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Higher foreign Inflation
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raises the value of domestic currency (reduces the value of foreign currency)
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If two countries have different inflation rates:
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the nominal exchange rate will change over time
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If inflation is higher in Mexico than in the US
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-P* rises faster than P -e rises -US dollar appreciates against the peso
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If inflation is higher in the US than in Mexico
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-P rises faster than P* -e falls -US dollar depreciates against the peso
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Example of non- traceable goods
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-haircuts -cannot be arbitraged, so law of one price does not apply
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Foreign and domestic goods are not perfect substitutes
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-Italian vs. Chinese shirts -even the corolla in Japan and the US are not perfect substitutes/
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T/F: PPP is rather a long-run phenomenon
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True
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T/F: If the exchange rate is 10 pesos per US dollar, it is also 1/10 US dollars per peso.
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True
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T/F: The theory of purchasing-power parity states that a unit of a country's currency should be able to buy the same quantity of goods in foreign countries as it does domestically.
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True
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T/F: If prices in the US rise faster than prices in the UK, then according to the doctrine pf purchasing-power parity the US nominal exchange rate should fall.
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True
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